Showing 1 - 10 of 452
In this paper we provide short- and long-run tax buoyancy estimates for 107 countries (distributed between advanced, emerging and low-income) for the period 1980-2014. By means of Fully-Modified OLS and (Pooled) Mean Group estimators, we find that: i) for advanced economies both long-run and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962148
This paper assesses the cyclicality and sustainability of fiscal policy in Belize and applies a stochastic simulation … debt sustainability. It recommends integrating such rules into a well-designed fiscal responsibility law and establishing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858382
The World Bank and the IMF have adopted a debt sustainability framework (DSF) to evaluate the risk of debt distress in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055260
To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea's economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080223
This paper estimates the effect of copper prices on Chile's growth at various time horizons. We find that a price decline is likely to have a durable (although not permanent) effect on GDP growth: while the impact is the strongest in the first 3 years after the shock, the transition towards the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999759
This paper critically reviews recent work regarding the sustainability of public debt. It argues that Debt … Sustainability Analyses (DSAs) should be more than mere mechanical simulation exercises. Instead, a DSA should be linked to some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082161
threaten macroeconomic stability as well as fiscal sustainability and intergenerational equity. In three parts, this paper … provides an assessment of the cyclically adjusted fiscal stance, analyzes fiscal sustainability according the permanent income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082926
Fiscal sustainability remains a paramount challenge for small economies with high debt and greater vulnerability to … climate change. This paper applies the model-based sustainability test for fiscal policy in a panel of 16 Caribbean countries … fiscal policy response is not adequate to ensure sustainability at higher levels of debt. We also find that the fiscal stance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840607
This paper examines a number of structural factors affecting the external debt sustainability of HIPC completion point … compared with many other low-income countries. Achieving and maintaining long-term debt sustainability in completion point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783133
The paper offers an approach to assessing the sustainability of public debt taking into account the effect of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956494