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Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086323
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in a large group of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212317
We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086308
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? Bydocumenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cyclein a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations aredriven by one major factor. The positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962163
We compare business cycle fluctuations in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries vis-à-vis the rest of the world. Our main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864121
Using the U.S. Current Population Survey data, this paper compares the distributional impacts of the Pandemic Crisis and those of the Global Financial Crisis in terms of (i) worker characteristics, (ii) job characteristics-'social' (where individuals interact to consume goods), 'teleworkable'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828220
-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data in a panel data setting, the study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098276
period is not associated with more output synchronization at the global level. The world business cycle was as strong during … level of co-movement, trade and financial integration strongly affect the way countries co-move with the rest of the world …. We find that financial integration de-synchronizes national outputs from the world cycle, although the magnitude of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993729
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998782
This paper examines the impact of financial depth on macroeconomic volatility using a dynamic panel analysis for 110 advanced and developing countries. We find that financial depth plays a significant role in dampening the volatility of output, consumption, and investment growth, but only up to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086316