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Monthly economic indicators support policy analysis of current economic developments and forecasting. This paper presents an overview of the data and statistical requirements to develop those indicators taking into account resource constraints that LIC typically face. We review statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831610
Brazil and Mexico. Using vector error-correction models, we find that the U.S. 10-year bond yield was a key driver of long … in Mexico. Our counterfactual analysis suggests that yields in both countries temporarily overshot the values predicted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957840
Mexico's fiscal response to the pandemic has been modest compared to its peers, reflecting the authorities' desire to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314839
Despite significant strides in financial development over the past decades, financial dollarization, as reflected in elevated shares of foreign currency deposits and credit in the banking system, remains common in developing economies. We study the impact of financial dollarization,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909419
This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047972
This paper assesses the real effects of the energy reform in Mexico by looking at its impact on manufacturing output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025487
We explore two issues triggered by the crisis. First, in most advanced countries, output remains far below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead to credit booms and rising output, and the evidence appears to go their way. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002152
In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a decline in potential output growth (which has shifted the Okun curve to the left). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859859
The macroeconomic policy response in India after the North Atlantic financial crisis (NAFC) was rapid. The overshooting of the stimulus and its gradual withdrawal sowed seeds for inflationary and BoP pressures and growth slowdown, then exacerbated by domestic policy bottlenecks and volatility in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053046