Showing 1 - 10 of 560
The paper investigates asymmetry in the allocation of aggregate demand shocks between real output growth and price … output growth, on average, over time. The analysis highlights the benefits of eliminating structural rigidities responsible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053047
Given the backdrop of pressing infrastructure needs, this paper argues that higher German public investment would not only stimulate domestic demand in the near term and reduce the current account surplus, but would also raise output over the longer-run as well as generate beneficial regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028678
along with output growth persistence by including a human capital investment sector and a variable physical capital … utilization rate. Strong internal "amplication" results from an economy-wide productivity shock across goods and human capital … investment sectors that has variances 10,000 fold smaller than in the standard RBC TFP shock. Simulated moments are compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966555
times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously … austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically … significant. In a weak economic environment, the likelihood of a self-defeating austerity shock is much higher than in normal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098577
document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and pay particular attention to the … period around the global financial crisis. A dynamic factor model is used to decompose each country's growth into … and widespread effects on growth, with more diversity in growth experiences in the early part of the recovery. In a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082486
This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external … index. The results show that vulnerabilities to a growth crisis in low-income countries declined significantly from their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083626
divergence and lower long-run growth, whereas we find absolute convergence in expansions. The output costs of political and … financial crises are permanent on average, and long-term growth is negatively linked to volatility. These results also imply … that panel data studies can help identify the sources of growth and that economic models should be capable of explaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063095
Climate change is already a systemic risk to the global economy. While there is a large body of literature documenting potential economic consequences, there is scarce research on the link between climate change and sovereign risk. This paper therefore investigates the impact of climate change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828232
episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role of domestic policies and other structural … attributes in amplifying or mitigating the effect that shifts in external conditions have on growth patterns in emerging market … and developing economies over the past five decades. We find that these economies can enhance the growth impulse from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866906
sector development acts as a shock-absorber in poor countries, dampening the transmission of terms of trade shocks to growth … policy attention on strengthening growth resilience. With low-income countries (LICs) being the most vulnerable to large and … volatility. Expanding the sample to 121 developing countries confirms this result, although this role of shock-absorber fades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871772