This paper proposes a new method of estimating the Taylor rule with a time-varying implicit inflation target and a time …-varying natural rate of interest. The inflation target and the natural rate are modeled as random walks and are estimated using …

We study a wide range of hybrid inflation-targeting (IT) and managed exchange rate regimes, analyzing their … implications for inflation, output and the exchange rate in the presence of various domestic and external shocks. To this end, we …

-2014. We derive an optimal monetary policy rule that minimizes variability of output, inflation, and the exchange rate … achieve inflation stability, while allowing greater exchange rate flexibility. We analyze the dynamics of key macro variables …

We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy — and therefore policy — was likely headed …

dynamics of the economy, the design ofmonetary policy, and the properties of inflation at different levels of development. A … calibratedversion of the model encompasses both rich and poor countries and broadly replicates theproperties of inflation across the … nearcomplete)stabilization of sticky-price non-food inflation, despite the presence of a foodsubsistencethreshold. Subsistence …

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature …, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation … coding of inflation reports to describe inflation factors communicated by central banks in real time. Regarding the latter …

Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to … monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has …-fledged inflation targeting …

We study the inflation process in India, focusing on the periods before and after the adoption of flexible inflation … core inflation, an examination of the sensitivity of medium-term inflation expectations to inflation surprises, and the … properties of convergence between headline and core inflation. Results indicate an important role for domestic factors in driving …

supply chain disruptions for inflation and monetary policy in sub-Saharan Africa. Increases in supply chain pressures have … had a sizeable impact on headline, food, and tradable inflation for a panel of 29 sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 … to 2022. Our findings suggest that central banks can stabilize inflation and output more efficiently by monitoring global …

-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and …