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This paper estimates the effect of copper prices on Chile's growth at various time horizons. We find that a price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999759
error correction model. The model fits the historical data well. While copper price is the most important determinant of the …. The Central Bank of Chile's foreign exchange interventions in 2008 and 2011 had a small impact on the peso …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078051
The paper concludes that world copper prices play an important role in short-term fluctuations and probably influence … copper price boom, the higher copper price and associated capital inflows create upward pressure on the real exchange rate …. The appreciation of the Chilean peso during the first part of the copper cycle contributes to lower inflation, which could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321367
A strand of research documents Chile's copper dependence hence significant exposure to terms of trade shocks. Copper … prices' sharp decline and forecast uncertainty since the end of the commodity super-cycle has rekindled the debate on Chile …'s adjustment capacity to external shocks. Following Malz (2014), this paper builds a time-varying measure of copper price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966554
To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea's economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080223
This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134722
The East African Community (EAC) has been among the fastest growing regions in sub-Saharan Africa in the past decade or so. Nonetheless, the recent growth path will not be enough to achieve middle-income status and substantial poverty reduction by the end of the decade-the ambition of most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096275
Over the past decade, China's growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China's supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096278
We investigate the relation between changes in tax composition and long-run economic growth using a new dataset covering a broad cross-section of countries with different income levels. We specifically consider 69 countries with at least 20 years of observations on total tax revenue during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097287
Going forward, Korea faces two closely related challenges: sustaining economic growth against the backdrop of a rapidly aging population and ameliorating income inequality. This paper argues that a gradual increase in social spending could promote more sustainable and inclusive growth in Korea....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098277