Showing 1 - 10 of 301
Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions concerning economic policy. Recently, however, the literature has focused more on issues of causality. This paper gently introduces some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858391
This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slowdown is structural or cyclical. An estimate of the relationship between trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027665
This paper provides the first empirical assessment of the impact of life expectancy assumptions on the liabilities of private U.S. defined benefit (DB) pension plans. Using detailed actuarial and financial information provided by the U.S. Department of Labor, we construct a longevity variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089786
Studies of the empirical relationship between income and mortality often rely on data aggregated by geographic areas … between individual mortality and lifetime income with a large micro data base of current and former retired participants in … death between low and high lifetime income are on the order of two to three years. Income-related mortality differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773661
This paper investigates the impact of taxation on firm survival, using hazard models and a large-scale panel dataset on over 4 million nonfinancial firms from 21 countries over the period 1995-2015. We find ample evidence that a lower level of effective marginal tax rate improves firms' survival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869293
We propose a dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards. Our parsimonious model … provides an excellent fit for the mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816. The model … mortality gradients across socio-economic statuses, (ii) non-monotonic dynamic effects of in-utero shocks, (iii) persistent or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243051
This paper focuses on two central issues related to the contrasting experiences of Malaysia and Pakistan regarding …. Malaysia, unlike Pakistan, was able to sustain rapid economic growth with equally impressive reduction in poverty because the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317896
inflation in the United States. We test for Granger-causality out-of-sample and find, perhaps surprisingly given recent theoretical arguments, that including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This holds for a long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772212
This paper shows that high energy subsidies and low public social spending can emerge as an equilibrium outcome of a political game between the elite and the middle-class when the provision of public goods is subject to bottlenecks, reflecting weak domestic institutions. We test this and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021781
Would better state institutions increase tax collection, or would higher tax collection help improve state institutions? In the absence of conclusive guidance from theory, this paper searches for an empirical answer to this question, using a panel dataset covering 110 non-resource-rich countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863974