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The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment by estimating medium-term fiscal multipliers during protracted recessions (PR) in a sample of 17 OECD countries. Based on Jorda's (2005) local projection methodology, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031164
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102258
Only a few empirical studies have analyzed the relationship between fiscal multipliers and the underlying state of the economy. This paper investigates this link on a country-by-country basis for the G7 economies (excluding Italy). Our results show that fiscal multipliers differ across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088409
multipliers for the United States. With these results, it computes the cumulative multiplier of Ramey and Zubairy (2018), now … multiplier is much larger than the cumulative spending one. Hence, the conclusions depend on the definition of multiplier. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840611
is that the balanced budget multiplier for Paraguay i.e. the effect of on output of an increase in expenditures (in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957837
economy is at the effective lower bound (ELB) or in normal times does not seem to matter for the size of the multiplier … average multiplier is about 1 in normal times and between 1.6 and 2.8 at the ELB, depending on the specification. The … difference between the two multipliers is distributed largely away from zero. More generally, the multiplier is inversely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866218
Government debt in many small states has risen beyond sustainable levels and some governments are considering fiscal consolidation. This paper estimates fiscal policy multipliers for small states using two distinct models: an empirical forecast error model with data from 23 small states across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871788
With the end of the commodity super cycle, Peru's potential growth has declined, raising questions of what government policies could do to help boost growth, including over the medium-term. Our econometric analysis shows that public investment multipliers have a larger effect on growth than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977818
propose a simple method — dubbed the “bucket approach” — to come up with reasonable multiplier estimates. The approach bunches … countries into groups (or “buckets”) with similar multiplier values, based on their characteristics. It also takes into account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050669
We estimate a panel VAR model that captures cross-country, dynamic interlinkages for 10 euro area countries using quarterly data for the period 1999-2016. Our analysis suggests that fiscal spillovers are significant and tend to be larger for countries with close trade and financial links as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928609