Showing 1 - 10 of 309
This paper examines the implications of elevated global food prices for inflation in select Central Asian economies - Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The findings suggest that global food inflation has significant short-run effects that build over time. Inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107077
We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use the model to run several policy-relevant exercises. First, we filter international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035741
Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are estimated to be large. This paper estimates the size of second-round effects using an estimated reduced-form general equilibrium model of the Indian economy, which incorporates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031969
This paper explores the role of foreign aid and remittance inflows in the mitigation of the effects of food price shocks. Using a large sample of developing countries and mobilising dynamic panel data specifications, the econometric results yield two important findings. First, remittance and aid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091296
Using a panel of 101 low- and middle-income countries with data covering the period 1980-2012, this paper applies various econometric approaches that deal with endogeneity issues to assess the impact of food price shocks on socio-political instability once fiscal policy and remittances have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252035
Ukraine’s economic performance has been anemic since the early 1990s. A major impediment to productivity growth has … institutional weakness in Ukraine and quantify the long-term growth impact of catching-up to Poland in terms of the quality of major … most optimistic scenario, where institutional gaps are fully addressed, Ukraine would need 15 years to catch up to Poland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305676
Using microdata from nationally representative household and labor force surveys, we study the impact and drivers of poverty and inequality in India during the pandemic. We have three main findings. First, India has made significant progress in reducing poverty in recent decades, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349469
A universal testing and isolation policy is the most viable way to vanquish a pandemic. Its implementation requires: (i) an epidemiological rather than clinical approach to testing, sacrificing accuracy for scalability, convenience and speed; and (ii) state intervention to ramp up production,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827589
Using the U.S. Current Population Survey data, this paper compares the distributional impacts of the Pandemic Crisis and those of the Global Financial Crisis in terms of (i) worker characteristics, (ii) job characteristics-'social' (where individuals interact to consume goods), 'teleworkable'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828220
We estimate the role of (pre-Ukraine war) supply disruptions in constraining the Covid-19 pandemic recovery, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254294