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A growing literature estimates the macroeconomic effect of weather using variations in annual country-level averages of … frequency or higher spatial resolution. To address this issue, we rely on global daily weather measurements with a 30-km spatial … resolution from 1979 to 2019 and construct 164 weather variables and their lags. We select a parsimonious subset of relevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079013
Climate change is an existential threat to the world economy like no other, with complex, evolving and nonlinear … dynamics that remain a source of great uncertainty. There is a bourgeoning literature on the economic impact of climate change …, but research on how climate change affects sovereign risks is limited. Building on our previous research focusing on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250076
What is the impact of climate change on inflation and growth dynamics? This is not a simple question to answer as … climate shocks tend to be ubiquitous, but with opposing effects simultaneously on demand and supply. The extent of which … climate-related shocks affect inflation and economic growth also depends on long-run scarring in the economy and the country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354589
Using panel data for a large number of countries, we find that economic contractions are not followed by offsetting fast recoveries. Trend output lost is not regained, on average. Wars, crises, and other negative shocks lead to absolute divergence and lower long-run growth, whereas we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063095
constraint, macroeconomic policy and institutional capacity. This paper extends the literature by arguing that climate shocks may … improve economic growth, and the size of the effect increases with good absorptive capacity. However, climate shocks reduce … resilience to climate change. Actions are also needed at global level to reduce greenhouse gases emissions, and build strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306770
We stress test the global economy to extreme climate change-related shocks on large and interconnected economies. Our … analysis (i) identifies large and interconnected economies vulnerable to climate change-related shocks; (ii) estimates these … a global network model. We show that large and interconnected economies vulnerable to climate change could trigger a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244523
Climate change is a major threat to the sustainability and inclusiveness of our societies, and to the planet …’s habitability. A just transition to a low-carbon economy is the only viable way forward. This paper reviews the climate change … challenge. It stresses the criticality of systems changes (energy, transport, urban, land use, water) in a climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306807
The global financial crisis was a stark reminder of the importance of cross-country linkages in the global economy. We document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and pay particular attention to the period around the global financial crisis. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082486
, however, appears very modest and not evident during the 2008 food price shock. The evidence suggests that trade openness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098581
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output - the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011202