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We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091691
effects of interconnectedness structures that are consistent with markets' perceptions of risk. We then show how SE losses can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907939
contract their balance sheets. These bank responses generate externalities that propagate in the form of macro … macro-financial feedback loops can significantly affect macroeconomic outcomes and bank-specific stress tests results. The … heterogeneity in bank lending responses matters: it determines how each bank fares under adverse conditions and the external effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829700
We study the link between the probability of default implied by Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spreads and the final prices of the defaulted bonds as established at the CDS settlement auctions. We observe that the post-default recovery rates at the observed spreads imply markets were often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028666
We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015592
extensive use of bank guarantees and expansionary macro policies than crises in low- and middle-income countries. We complement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909413
We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies over 1995-2020. We construct composite indices of underlying liquidity, solvency and mispricing risks and analyze their patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243043
individual bank returns has not yet been developed. This paper proposes an extension of the so-called CoVaR measure that captures … increases with bank size. The conditional tail comovement between the banking system and a top decile bank which is losing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102257
affecting bank solvency during adverse macroeconomic conditions. This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of using extreme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843509
Diebold and Yilmaz (2015) recently introduced variance decomposition networks as tools for quantifying and ranking the systemic risk of individual firms. The nature of these networks and their implied rankings depend on the choice decomposition method. The standard choice is the order invariant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945685