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uncertainty using options contracts. VAR analysis shows that the investment response to an uncertainty shock of average magnitude … in the sample is strong and persistent: the cumulative fall in investment from trend at a one-year horizon ranges 2 …-5.8 percentage points; and it takes between 11/2 and 2 years for investment to return to its trend level. Empirical ranges depend on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966554
This paper documents the recent slowdown in investment in India and explores its underlying causes. The sharp … investment deceleration has sparked an intense debate about the role of interest rates, as well as business confidence and … economic policy uncertainty. Our results suggest that while explaining aggregate investment activity better than nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055667
This paper considers the adjustment of physical capital within a country in the long run and in the short run. It uses a unique data set on income, labor, human capital, and private and public physical capital in the Spanish regions over the past two decades. In the long run, the movement of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212025
's macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950422
irreversible investment are more exposed to policy uncertainty. In sectors with large irreversible investment EPU has a greater … effect on growth, investment, and leverage. The results are robust to different definitions of investment irreversibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895106
The global economy is in the midst of an unprecedented slump caused by the coronavirus pandemic. This systemic risk …-pronged approach to investigate the relationship between corporate leverage and fixed investment spending. The empirical analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250075
Recent literature has shown that corporate indebtedness affects firm-level investment behavior but not necessarily … substitute depressed investment by their financially constrained competitors. The increase in investment, primarily driven by … equilibrium effects are unambiguously countercyclical because the increase in investment by unconstrained firms does not crowd out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348807
We analyze the impact of trade policy uncertainty on investment in the euro area. Our identification strategy assumes … that countries that are relatively more dependent on global trade networks exhibit a higher sensitivity of investment with … respect to trade uncertainty. We find that the investment-to-GDP ratio is on average 0.8 percentage points lower for five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892915
In this paper I apply firm-level analysis to examine how the Brexit process has affected business investment in the UK … had a considerable and statistically significant negative impact on firm investment in the UK after the referendum. At the … same time, the post-referendum sterling depreciation has likely contributed positively to investment expenditure by more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895140
Over the past decade, China's growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China's supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096278