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Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864114
This paper examines the recent behavior of core inflation in the United States. We specify a simple Phillips curve … based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve's target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025502
We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. Thisallows us to capture the … different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that thePhillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper … indexationdynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a moredetailed understanding of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913928
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082956
standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843500
Estimates of potential output and the neutral short-term interest rate play important roles in policy making. However, such estimates are associated with significant uncertainty and subject to significant revisions. This paper extends the structural multivariate filter methodology by adding a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913892
Many observers argue that the world has changed after the latest financial crisis. If that is the case, monetary policy and the process informing it will have to be reconsidered and 'learned' anew by all stakeholders. Perhaps, a new Taylor rule will emerge. A 'Taylor rule' is predicated upon two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889157
Forward-looking monetary policy communication has become a key element of flexible inflation-targeting regimes across … advanced and emerging market economies. The Reserve Bank of India’s implementation of a flexible inflation targeting framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238515
We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828224
Do euro area inflation expectations remain well-anchored? This paper finds that the protractedperiod of low (and below …-target) inflation in the euro area since 2013 has weakened theiranchoring. Testing their sensitivity to inflation and macroeconomic news … robustness to our conclusions. Results point to a significantimpact of inflation news over recent years that had not been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892921