The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper … constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass …, and more closely related to headline inflation over the next year. The weighted median also has a drawback: in most …

In closed or open economy models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize … is high. We develop an open economy model with incomplete financial markets to show that headline inflation targeting … improves welfare outcomes. We also compute the optimal price index, which includes a positive weight on food prices but, unlike …

This paper investigates the impact of fiscal shocks on inflation, using a large panel of 139 countries over the period … 1970–2021. First, both headline and core measures of inflation increase in response to expansionary shifts in the fiscal … with care in aggregate demand management as it has significant effects on inflation, which are highly dependent on fiscal …

Inflation in low-income countries is often high and volatile, driven by external shocks. In addition, inflation in … stability. We estimate the drivers of inflation in Guinea since the early 2000s, a period in which the country suffered major … shocks from pandemics, commodity price movements, and multiple military coups, and during which inflation averaged 12 percent …

between monetary autonomy and inflation dynamics in a panel of Caribbean countries over the period 1980-2017. The empirical … results show that monetary independence is a significant factor in determining inflation, even after controlling for … monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation …

Against the backdrop of an ongoing review of the inflation-targeting framework, this paper examines the real …-time inflation forecasts of the Bank of Canada with the aim of identifying potential areas for improvement. Not surprisingly, the … results show that errors in forecasting non-core inflation (commodity prices etc.) are found to be the largest contributors to …

Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …

This paper quantitatively assesses the effects of inflation shocks on the public debt-to-GDP ratio in 19 advanced … impulse responses by local projections both suggest that a 1 percentage point shock to inflation rate reduces the debt … higher inflation, even if accompanied by some financial repression, could reduce public debt burden only marginally in many …

Does the South African rand's relatively large volatility affect inflation? To shed some light on this question, a … standard estimation technique of exchange rate pass-through to inflation is extended to incorporate exchange rate volatility …. Estimated results suggest that higher exchange rate volatility tends to increase core inflation but to a relatively limited …

We estimate the dynamic effects of changes in retail energy prices on inflation using a novel monthly database …, covering 110 countries over 2000:M1 to 2016:M6. We find that (i) inflation responds positively to retail energy price shocks … response of inflation to these shocks owing to differences in factors related to labor market flexibility, energy intensity …