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Australia's Linkages with China : Prospects and Ramifications of China's Economic Transition
Karam, Philippe D. - 2018
China and Australia have increasingly strong links, especially through trade. These are driven by demand from China for … Australian commodities (coal and iron ore) and services (tourism and education). These links are influenced by China's transition …, three risks (both upside and downside) to China during this transition process are considered, focusing on their spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913908
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Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents
Bayoumi, Tamim - 2013
The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting. Typical models generate lower international correlations of output and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085976
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Fragmentation in Global Trade : Accounting for Commodities
Bolhuis, Marijn; Chen, Jiaqian; Kett, Benjamin - 2023
We construct a new database which covers production and trade in 136 primary commodities and 24 manufacturing and service sectors for 145 countries. Using this new more granular data, we estimate spillover effects from plausible trade fragmentation scenarios in a new multi-country, multi-sector,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358436
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Estimating the Impact of External Shocks on the ECCU : Application to the COVID Shock
Parlak, Vivian; Salinas, Gonzalo; Vargas, Jose - 2022
We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306756
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Global and Regional Spillovers to Pacific Island Countries
Sheridan, Niamh - 2012
Regional integration of Pacific Island countries (PICs) with Australia, New Zealand, and emerging Asia has increased over the last two decades. PICs have become more exposed to the region's business cycles, and spillovers from regional economies are more important for PICs than from advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102205
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Are the Asia and Pacific Small States Different from Other Small States?
Tumbarello, Patrizia - 2013
The small states of the Asia and Pacific region face unique challenges in raising their growth potential and living standards relative to other small states due to their small populations, geographical isolation and dispersion, narrow export and production bases, exposure to shocks, and heavy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080455
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A Network Model of Multilaterally Equilibrium Exchange Rates
Kireyev, Alexei - 2016
This paper proposes a network model of multilaterally equilibrium exchange rates. The model introduces a topological component into the exchange rate analysis, consistently taking into account simultaneous higher-order interactions among all currencies. The paper defines the currency demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977844
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China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown
Hong, Gee Hee - 2016
Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China's import … point to weak investment and rebalancing as the main causes of the import slowdown. Spillover effects from China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977866
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China's Imports Slowdown : Spillovers, Spillins, and Spillbacks
Kireyev, Alexei - 2016
The paper models international spillovers from a hypothetical drop of China's imports as a result of China … shock, which are largely unaccounted for in the existing literature. Such effects include direct spillovers from China on … its trading partners, subsequent spillins among them, and spillbacks on China itself. The paper finds that the network …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995279
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IMF Lending in an Interconnected World
Poulain, Jean-Guillaume - 2017
We analyze the determinants of IMF lending since the early nineties, a period during which the roles of financial cycles and interconnectedness as amplifiers and transmitters of economic crises have gained prominence. First, we show that the global financial cycle is an important driver of IMF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950391