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Dutch disease is often referred as a situation in which large and sustained foreign currency inflows lead to a contraction of the tradable sector by giving rise to a real appreciation of the home currency. This paper documents that this syndrome has been witnessed by many emerging markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306761
This paper studies the effect of demographic change on national saving, global interest rates, and international capital flows, focusing on the role of the public pension system. We develop a small open economy overlapping generations model to illustrate the channels through which demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895118
sector development acts as a shock-absorber in poor countries, dampening the transmission of terms of trade shocks to growth … volatility. Expanding the sample to 121 developing countries confirms this result, although this role of shock-absorber fades … away as economies grow richer. Stock market development, by contrast, appears neither to be a shock-absorber nor a shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871772
Asian economies are increasingly integrated to the global economy through trade and financial linkages, exposing them to the international financial cycle. This paper explores how external shocks are transmitted to Asian economies and whether the use of policies, such as the monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238139
by banks and investment. For example, a capital outflow shock leads to a deprecation that reduces the net worth and … intermediation capacity of banks exposed to foreign currency liabilities. In such cases, the exchange rate acts as shock amplifier … exchange rate serves as a shock absorber, and any FXI that weakens that function can be costly. We also explore the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243072
the shock compared to countries which did not have such preemptive policies in place. We use the episodes of Taper Tantrum … effects where preemptive policies are ex-ante by construction and cannot be put in place as a response to the shock ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295150
The three main financial inflows to developing countries have largely increased during the last two decades, despite the large debate in the literature regarding their effects on economic growth which is not yet clear-cut. An emerging literature investigates the dependence of their effects on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306770
This paper studies whether fiscal policy plays a stabilizing role in the context of import food price shocks. More precisely, the paper assesses whether fiscal policy dampens the adverse effect of import food price shocks on household consumption. Based on a panel of 70 low and middle-income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243071
When analyzing terms-of-trade shocks, it is implicitly assumed that the economy responds symmetrically to changes in export and import prices. Using a sample of developing countries our paper shows that this is not the case. We construct export and import price indices using commodity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250081
This paper analyses the extent to which financial integration impacts the manner in which terms of trade affect business cycles in emerging economies. Using a s mall open economy model, we show that as capital account openness increases in an economy that faces trade shocks, business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950443