Showing 1 - 10 of 825
Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical … for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising … underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098617
Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
expectations to provide a comparison of inflation persistence in Brazil with a sample of inflation targeting (IT) countries. This … approach suggests that inflation persistence increased in Brazil through early 2013, in contrast to many of its IT peers …Inflation persistence is sometimes defined as the tendency for price shocks to push the inflation rate away from its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054691
While Brazil's deep recession has been broad based, it has been marked by a particularlylarge fall in investment. Real … factors contributed tothe investment decline, including a deterioration in Brazil's medium-term growthprospects, rising real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928618
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a fiscal transmission mechanism, and extensive macrofinancial linkages, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102206
The effect that the recent decline in the price of oil has had on growth is far from clear, with many observers at odds to explain why it does not seem to have provided a significant boost to the world economy. This paper aims to address this puzzle by providing a systematic analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945690
We study the effects of oil-price shocks on the U.S. economy combining narrative and quantitative approaches. After examining daily oil-related events since 1984, we classify them into various event types. We then develop measures of exogenous shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037249
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model featuring a monetary transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060545
We study the macroeconomic effects of the COVID-19 epidemic in a quantitative dynamic general equilibrium setup with nominal rigidities. We evaluate various containment policies and show that they allow to dramatically reduce the welfare cost of the disease. Then we investigate the role that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298753
India over the period 1996-2011 using quarterly data, with a view to analytically informing the conduct of monetary policy …-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102281