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In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of thepost-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate astylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during“normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061162
The negative and stable relationship between an economy’s aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306725
medium-term business cyclefluctuations in GDP, its components and the unemployment rate. Additionally, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945679
unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate-varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085991
unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … unemployment rates to pre-shock levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912496
Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U …-level unemployment data, which are only available from January 1976 onwards, and capture consistent patterns in the business cycle. We … use our claims-based unemployment series to examine the evolving pace of post-war unemployment recoveries at the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081630
The paper examines the determinants of employment growth, drawing on data available across a sample of Caribbean countries. To that end, the paper analyzes estimates of the employment-output elasticity and the response of employment growth to major sources of labor market determinants, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049805
consumption and output volatility, but generates larger unemployment fluctuations in response to productivity shocks; the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023271
unemployment. As such, our work contributes to resolving twolimitations of current general equilibrium labor-search theory: under … standard calibrations modelswithout OTJ search generate implausibly low unemployment volatility, while models with OTJsearch … generate unemployment volatility closer to the data but at the expense of implausibly lowconsumption and labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950419