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In this paper, we analyze how lack of credibility and transparency of monetary and fiscal policies undermines the …-country evidence that monetary policy transparency and fiscal credibility reduce the incidence of export price volatility on output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057311
We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment. Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief that the Central bank is committed to the plan. Some plans...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828228
credibility. In our setting, central bank credibility is proportional to the deviation of inflation expectations from the … announced inflation target, with positive deviations being more costly compared to negative ones. A loss in policy credibility …. We find that the extended model with credibility effects matches well the key macroeconomic data over specific past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315093
price stability and central bank credibility have reduced the second component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950431
, in line with the literature, that this outcome is largely due to improved monetary policy credibility. To do this, it … first documents the factors that explain monetary policy credibility. Using the standard deviation of individual inflation … forecasts as a measure of monetary policy credibility, its shows that the latter is negatively affected by the level of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912492
postulates that a loss of solvency increases central bank financial vulnerability and leads to credibility losses regarding its …, such as VaR, are good forward-looking indicators of possible credibility crises. The paper analyzes risks derived both from … in order to reduce the likelihood of credibility crises. Available data and technology permits the tracking of central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062266
of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy … good policy track record, contribute to magnifying this effect, thereby improving fiscal credibility. Conversely, empirical … analysis suggests that markets reward credibility with more favorable sovereign financing conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295113
”, albeit of limited size. The value of such services depends on the credibility of the central bank, which can be accumulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295141
The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096279
The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097742