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We analyze how concerns for model misspecification on the part of international lenders affect the desirability of issuing state-contingent debt instruments in a standard sovereign default model à la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981). We show that for the commonly used threshold state-contingent bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030625
Climate change poses an existential threat to the global economy. While there is a growing body of literature on the economic consequences of climate change, research on the link between climate change and sovereign default risk is nonexistent. We aim to fill this gap in the literature by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252051
I propose a dynamic general equilibrium model in which strategic interactions between banks and depositors may lead to endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929926
risk shocks have an important impact on world economic activity, with the busts in world output gap corresponding to … the world output gap, country output gaps, the price of oil, and country risk premiums. The importance of systemic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016583
The sovereign debt crisis in Europe has highlighted the role of country risk premia as a link between countries' fiscal and external balances, financial conditions and monetary policy. The purpose of this paper is to estimate how adoption of inflation targeting (IT) affects spreads. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086328
The sovereign debt crisis in Europe has highlighted the role of country risk premia as a link between countries' fiscal and external balances, financial conditions and monetary policy. The purpose of this paper is to estimate how adoption of inflation targeting (IT) affects spreads. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087779
We study a model of equilibrium sovereign default in which the government issues cocos (contingent convertible bonds) that stipulate a suspension of debt payments when the government faces liquidity shocks in the form of an increase of the bondholders' risk aversion. We find that in spite of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289445
Is the seniority structure of sovereign debt neutral for a government's decision betweendefaulting and raising surpluses? In this paper, we address this question using a model ofdebt crises where a discretionary government endogenously chooses distortionary taxationand whether to apply an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913932
This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918566
Studies have shown that markets may underprice sub-national governments' risk on the implicit assumption that these entities would be bailed out by their central government in case of financial difficulties. However, the question of whether sovereigns pay a premium on their own borrowing as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058431