inflation. Through a novel consumption deflator decomposition, we show that import prices account for 40 percent of the average … convergence of inflation to target over the next two years. Monetary policy will thus need to remain restrictive to anchor …

dynamics of the economy, the design ofmonetary policy, and the properties of inflation at different levels of development. A … calibratedversion of the model encompasses both rich and poor countries and broadly replicates theproperties of inflation across the … nearcomplete)stabilization of sticky-price non-food inflation, despite the presence of a foodsubsistencethreshold. Subsistence …

How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign … the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short …

volatility. Also, our results indicate that having an explicit fiscal rule and an inflation targeting regime contribute to … output, aggregate demand, and inflation to an increase in commodity price are magnified when these rules are imperfectly …-country evidence that monetary policy transparency and fiscal credibility reduce the incidence of export price volatility on output …

Many central banks in emerging and advanced economies have adopted an inflation-forecast targeting (IFT) approach to … monetary policy, in order to successfully establish a stable, low-inflation environment. To support policy making, each has …-fledged inflation targeting …

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature …, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by comparing inflation … coding of inflation reports to describe inflation factors communicated by central banks in real time. Regarding the latter …

supply chain disruptions for inflation and monetary policy in sub-Saharan Africa. Increases in supply chain pressures have … had a sizeable impact on headline, food, and tradable inflation for a panel of 29 sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 … to 2022. Our findings suggest that central banks can stabilize inflation and output more efficiently by monitoring global …

We study the inflation process in India, focusing on the periods before and after the adoption of flexible inflation … core inflation, an examination of the sensitivity of medium-term inflation expectations to inflation surprises, and the … properties of convergence between headline and core inflation. Results indicate an important role for domestic factors in driving …