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Do Fiscal Rules Cause Better Fiscal Balances? A New Instrumental Variable Strategy
Caselli, Francesca - 2019
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on fiscal balances in a panel of 142 countries over the period 1985-2015. Our instrumental variable strategy exploits the geographical diffusion of fiscal rules across countries. The intuition is that reforms in neighboring countries may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889142
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Back to the Future : Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability
Cevik, Serhan - 2019
This paper assesses the cyclicality and sustainability of fiscal policy in Belize and applies a stochastic simulation … debt sustainability. It recommends integrating such rules into a well-designed fiscal responsibility law and establishing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858382
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Do Fiscal Rules Cause Fiscal Discipline Over the Electoral Cycle?
Eklou, Kodjovi - 2020
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on political budget cycles in a sample of 67 developing countries over the period 1985-2007. We exploit the geographical pattern in the adoption of fiscal rules to isolate an exogenous source of variation in the adoption of national fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843304
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Fiscal Rules and the Budget Process
Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria - 2006
This paper examines the rationale for the imposition of fiscal rules as a way to reduce budgetary imbalances. It presents theoretical arguments for the existence of a quot;fiscal deficit biasquot; and the empirical evidence on the economic, political and institutional factors leading to this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782040
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Do Subnational Fiscal Rules Foster Fiscal Discipline? New Empirical Evidence from Europe
Kotia, Ananya - 2016
This paper studies how fiscal rules interact with the intergovernmental fiscal framework to foster fiscal discipline among European subnational governments. We use political variables describing the fiscal attitudes of the central government as instruments to obtain consistent estimates of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977755
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Fiscal Rules and the Procyclicality of Fiscal Policy in the Developing World
Bova, Elva - 2015
This paper documents the spread of fiscal rules in the developing world and investigates the relation between fiscal rules and procyclical fiscal policy. We find that, since the early 2000s, developing countries outnumbered advanced economies as users of fiscal rules. Rules were adopted either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032930
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Do Fiscal Rules Foster Fiscal Discipline in Resource-Rich Countries?
Apeti, Ablam Estel; Basdevant, Olivier; Salins, Veronique - 2023
This paper investigates the performance of fiscal rules in resource-rich countries (RRC). Using panel data for 57 commodity exporting countries from 1976 to 2021, we find that fiscal rules: (i) reduce the procyclicality of real public expenditures with terms of trade in oil exporting countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354588
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A Model-Based Fiscal Taylor Rule and a Toolkit to Assess the Fiscal Stance
Fournier, Jean-Marc - 2020
This paper presents a model-based fiscal Taylor rule and a toolkit to assess the fiscal stance, defined as the change in the structural primary balance. This is built on the normative buffer-stock model of the government (Fournier, 2019) which includes key channels like hysteresis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839319
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Fiscal Councils : Rationale and Effectiveness
Beetsma, Roel M. W. J. - 2016
The paper discusses the effectiveness of independent fiscal institutions -- or fiscal councils -- in taming the deficit bias that emerged in the 1970s. After a review of the main theoretical arguments and recent trends about fiscal councils, we develop a stylized model showing how a fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977753
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Riding the Storm : Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean
Cevik, Serhan - 2020
Fiscal sustainability remains a paramount challenge for small economies with high debt and greater vulnerability to … climate change. This paper applies the model-based sustainability test for fiscal policy in a panel of 16 Caribbean countries … fiscal policy response is not adequate to ensure sustainability at higher levels of debt. We also find that the fiscal stance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840607