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Regional labor market discrepancies have been widening in Belgium in the last two decades and are more evident within … particular demographic groups. These developments can largely be accounted for by worse matching of people to jobs in the high-unemployment … provinces. Using a structural VAR, it is also shown that labor market dynamics in Belgium produce a strong attenuating effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826565
This paper develops a model of the process of reallocation of labor from the state sector to the private sector. When … growth is exogenously determined, we show that in the initial stages of transition unemployment will rise over time. After a … critical stage in the transition process, restructuring is accompanied by a decline in unemployment. When growth is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599418
inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990724
inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263831
the analysis, and demonstrates how to decompose the output gap into contributions of observed data on output, inflation …, unemployment, and other variables. A simple bar-chart of contributing factors, in the case of multi-variable methods, sharpens the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790260
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242396
based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
This paper presents a framework for quantitatively evaluating the macroeconomic effects of corporate restructuring and applies it to Japan. Using firm-level financial statement data, it estimates total factor productivity (TFP) of individual Japanese firms. Given the estimated distribution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248188
The obstacles to economic growth in Mongolia are modeled with a supply-side growth model calibrated to represent inefficient use of resources and intermediation. Progressive removal of inefficiencies over time by means of privatization of banks and industrial enterprises potentially leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263703