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This paper develops a model of the process of reallocation of labor from the state sector to the private sector. When … growth is exogenously determined, we show that in the initial stages of transition unemployment will rise over time. After a … critical stage in the transition process, restructuring is accompanied by a decline in unemployment. When growth is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599418
Regional labor market discrepancies have been widening in Belgium in the last two decades and are more evident within … particular demographic groups. These developments can largely be accounted for by worse matching of people to jobs in the high-unemployment … provinces. Using a structural VAR, it is also shown that labor market dynamics in Belgium produce a strong attenuating effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826565
This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242396
based on the assumptions that inflation expectations are fully anchored at the Federal Reserve’s target, and that labor …-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
the analysis, and demonstrates how to decompose the output gap into contributions of observed data on output, inflation …, unemployment, and other variables. A simple bar-chart of contributing factors, in the case of multi-variable methods, sharpens the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790260
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been … remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s … observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790401
inflation, unemployment, government deficit, and GDP growth into a single indicator. In contrast to other indexes, the EPI does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990724
inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263831
capital and labor based on administratively set minimum wages rather than an imputed return to book assets.  This paper … shift would also raise the tax burden of skilled labor-intensive industries more than it would that of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242210
standard (Solow-style) growth accounting methodologies. We find that factor accumulation (especially labor), rather than growth … of capital accumulation and some natural constraints on labor, the strong growth momentum is unlikely to be sustainable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790356