Showing 1 - 10 of 227
This paper describes the current state of the Macedonian electricity sector. It looks at ongoing structural changes …, driven by the gradual adoption of the EU acquis on energy, and comes up with estimates for electricity subsidies. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839339
Driving infrastructure development, notably mobilizing financial resources for infrastructure projects, has been challenging in many countries. This study includes two parts: an empirical analysis of macroeconomic risks associated with infrastructure booms, and a case study of four emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203552
as consisting of the three subsectors of crude oil and natural gas production, refinery, and electricity production. It … electricity sector, and inefficient government subsidies in the latter two subsectors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604798
energy prices, we find electricity prices––relative to oil and gas––to be more important in the manufacturing process …, with a one standard deviation reduction in electricity prices leading to a 2.8 percent increase in manufacturing output …. Our estimated elasticities together with plausible reductions in electricity tariffs derived from the energy reform, could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242302
The output contractions during the initial transition stages in the Baltics and in Russia and the other CIS countries are examined across several dimensions, and the reliability of the available official statistics evaluated. The depth, length and breadth of the contractions are studied and set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263697
Quasi-fiscal deficits of public utility companies are common in all member countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). They constitute a significant impediment to efficient resource allocation and endanger macroeconomic stability. This paper presents a simple framework for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768963
continuously or with some jumps. This view is widely held in the forecasting literature and under this view, the time series … contemporary forecasting methods is compared to ours using a number of macroeconomic data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860411
distribution theory involves cube-root asymptotics and it is used to shed light on forecasting practice. We show that the … conventional forecasting methods do not necessarily produce the best forecasts in our setting. We also propose a new forecasting … strategy, which incorporates our new distribution theory, and apply our forecasting method to numerous macroeconomic data. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860415
decomposing, smoothing and forecasting two-dimensional sparse data. In some ways, ROPES is similar to Ridge Regression, the LASSO … practical method of forecasting mortality rates, as well as a new method for interpolating and extrapolating sparse longitudinal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958945
Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are estimated to be large. This paper estimates the size of second-round effects using an estimated reduced-form general equilibrium model of the Indian economy, which incorporates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959475