Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 89
Cover Image
Made in Mexico: Energy Reform and Manufacturing Growth
Alvarez, Jorge; Valencia, Fabian - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2015
energy prices, we find electricity prices––relative to oil and gas––to be more important in the manufacturing process …, with a one standard deviation reduction in electricity prices leading to a 2.8 percent increase in manufacturing output …. Our estimated elasticities together with plausible reductions in electricity tariffs derived from the energy reform, could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242302
Cover Image
The Great Contractions in Russia, the Baltics and the Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union; A View From the Supply Side
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2000
The output contractions during the initial transition stages in the Baltics and in Russia and the other CIS countries are examined across several dimensions, and the reliability of the available official statistics evaluated. The depth, length and breadth of the contractions are studied and set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263697
Cover Image
Food Inflation in India: The Role for Monetary Policy
Anand, Rahul; Ding, Ding; Tulin, Volodymyr - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are estimated to be large. This paper estimates the size of second-round effects using an estimated reduced-form general equilibrium model of the Indian economy, which incorporates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959475
Cover Image
Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
Vitek, Francis - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959478
Cover Image
OUT-OF-SAMPLE FORECASTING PERFORMANCE OF A ROBUST NEURAL EXCHANGE RATE MODEL OF RON/USD
SAMAN, Corina - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2015) 1, pp. 93-106
This paper aims to explore the forecasting accuracy of RON/USD exchange rate structural models with monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265554
Cover Image
Czech Koruna and Polish Zloty Currency Options; Information Contnent and Eu-Accession Implications
Morales, Armando Méndez - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
Currency option implied volatility predicts more efficiently exchange rate volatility for the Polish zloty relative to the Czech koruna, reflecting differences in the frequency of central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market. A GARCH model shows a positive impact of the introduction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248136
Cover Image
Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdownon Thai Growth
Aiyar, Shekhar; Tchakarov, Ivan - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in housing and credit markets, and high oil prices. While the share of Thai exports to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248323
Cover Image
THE “DOBRESCU” MACROMODEL OF THE ROMANIAN TRANSITION ECONOMY – Yearly and Monthly Forecast
Scutaru, Cornelia; Ciupagea, Constantin; Fomin, Petre; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 1 (2004) 2, pp. 123-126
The paper presents the yearly and monthly forecast of the Romanian transition economy performed on the basis of the “Dobrescu” macromodel.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248483
Cover Image
Macromodel Estimation for the Romanian "Pre-Accession Economic Programme"*
Dobrescu, Emilian - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2002) 5, pp. 5-38
Development and Forecasting and the National Bank of Romania in order to update the "Pre-Accession Economic Programme") …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248485
Cover Image
THE "DOBRESCU" MACROMODEL OF THE ROMANIAN MARKET ECONOMY - 2005 VERSION - YEARLY FORECAST*
Pauna, Bianca; Ghizdeanu, Ion; Scutaru, Cornelia; … - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting 4 (2007) 1, pp. 115-125
The paper briefly presents the "Dobrescu" macromodel, the 2005 version, and the yearly forecast of the Romanian market economy computed on its basis. * (PHARE Programme RO2003/005-551.02.03 "Strengthening the capacity for analysis, macroeconomic forecast and elaboration of economic policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248486