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statistics for sequential testing. We show that, for most types of data generating processes in samples with as low as 50 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264217
Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magnitude of the problem, proposes and tests a solution, and applies it to previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768958
This paper investigates the short-run effects of the 2007-09 global financial crisis on growth in (mainly non-fuel exporting) low-income countries (LICs). Four conclusions stand out. First, for many individual LICs, 2009 was not extraordinarily calamitous; however, aggregate LIC output declined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839347