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The IMF's Consultative Group on Exchange Rate issues (CGER) has been conducting exchange rate assessments as part of the surveillance process since 1997. This paper evaluates CGER assessments from 1997 to 2006, by comparing these to subsequent movements in real effective exchange rates (REER)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825774
that one should not discard, on the basis of RMSE statistics, the use of predictive models that include financial variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540921
This paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the paper goes through the theoretical and practical considerations of this new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528615
This paper assesses the extent of regional financial integration in the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) by analyzing equity prices in the region and rigidity of external financing constraints. The results are presented in a cross-regional perspective. The Caribbean stock markets are not as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528700