Danninger, Stephan; Kyobe, Annette; Cangiano, M. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
This paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new data on revenue-forecasting … forecasts. A theoretical model explains forecasting interference through government corruption. The data broadly supports the …-transparency, formality, and organizational simplicity-that characterize revenue-forecasting practices, and assesses their effectiveness in …