Implementation of fiscal consolidation by advanced economies in coming years needs to take into account the short and long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal...

The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. KEY FEATURES OF THE GLOBAL FISCAL MODEL -- III. CALIBRATING THE MODEL -- IV. THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF GOVERNMENT DEBT -- V. GOVERNMENT SPENDING SHOCKS AND PRIVATE CONSUMPTION -- VI. TAX DISTORTIONS AND THE BENEFITS OF TAX REFORM -- VII. THE EFFECTS...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS AND RISK -- III. DEBT DYNAMICS AND THE CONDUCT OF FISCAL POLICY -- IV. RISKS TO DEBT SUSTAINABILITY IN FIVE EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES -- V. CONCLUSION -- Appendix -- REFERENCES.

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK -- III. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS OF THE CROSS-COUNTRY STUDY -- IV. APPLICATION TO JAMAICA -- V. POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- VI. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS -- A. DATA SOURCES AND DEFINITIONS AND COUNTRY GROUPING -- B. DEBT-INFLATION TRAP AND DEBT...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. HOW IMPORTANT IS PUBLIC SECTOR CREDIT, AND WHERE? -- III. HOW PUBLIC SECTOR CREDIT COULD HARM FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT -- IV. DOES PUBLIC SECTOR CREDIT AFFECT THE DEPTH OF FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT? -- V. DOES PUBLIC SECTOR CREDIT AFFECT THE QUALITY OF...

The impact of fiscal stimulus depends not only on short-term tax and spending policies, but also on expectations about offsetting measures in the future. This paper analyzes the effects of an increase in government spending under a plausible debt-stabilizing policy that links current stimulus to...

We investigate the impact of remittances on public debt sustainability and detail how the traditional debt-to-GDP ratio can be modified to create a more accurate representation of debt sustainability for a country that receives significant remittance inflows. The main result is that inclusion of...