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sub-Saharan African countries on the relative importance of fiscal and monetary determinants of inflation. Based on the … dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677562
Japan has the most rapidly aging population in the world. This affects growth and fiscal sustainability, but the … potential impact on inflation has been studied less. We use the IMF’s Global Integrated Fiscal and Monetary Model (GIMF) and … advanced countries as well, but we find that deflation risk from aging is not inevitable as ambitious structural reforms and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142094
advanced economies and emerging markets to quantify the effects of fiscal tightening on inflation expectations. We find that … fiscal consolidation announcements reduce inflation expectations over the medium-term (three and five-years ahead), but not …" about expected future inflation at longer horizons. The inflation anchoring role of consolidation announcements is enhanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058655
This paper presents an empirical investigation of inflation dynamics in Libya over the period 1964–2010, using … cointegration and error correction models. While inflation inertia is found to be a key determinant of consumer price inflation, the … econometric results indicate that government spending, money supply growth, global inflation, and exchange rate pass-through play …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142009
policy, along side an inflation-forecast-based monetary policy, could enhance macroeconomic stability in Colombia. The model … simulations indicate that, in addition to stabilizing output and inflation, a stronger response of the fiscal balance to excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769219
We develop a tractable open-economy new-Keynesian model with two sectors to analyze the short-term effects of aid-financed fiscal expansions. We distinguish between spending the aid, which is under the control of the fiscal authorities, and absorbing the aid-using the aid to finance a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470400
This paper uses two of the IMF’s DSGE models to simulate the benefits of international fiscal and macroprudential policy coordination. The key argument is that these two policies are similar in that, unlike monetary policy, they have long-run effects on the level of GDP that need to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142005
money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. TAXONOMY OF UNDERLYING INFLATION INDICATORS -- III. FEATURES OF THE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690993
This paper argues case that a tighter fiscal policy stance can meaningfully support central banks in fighting inflation … more effective than fiscal policy in battling inflation in open economies due to the exchange rate channel, we show that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058850