times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …

Inflation -- B. VAR Models -- C. Variable Coefficient Models -- D. Using Subcomponents of CPI -- IV. CONCLUSIONS -- References. …

This paper studies how and why inflation expectations have changed since the emergence of Covid-19. Using micro …-year and five-ten year horizons has widened since the surge of inflation during 2021, along with the mean. Persistently high … adaptive learning is able to mimic the change in inflation expectations over time for different demographic groups. The …

economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged … inflation and the pre-Accord peg. In this counterfactual, debt/GDP declines only to 74% in 1974, not 23% as in actual history …

This paper analyzes the dramatic rise in U.S. inflation since 2020, which we decompose into a rise in core inflation as … measured by the weighted median inflation rate and deviations of headline inflation from core. We explain the rise in core with …-through into core from past shocks to headline inflation. The headline shocks themselves are explained largely by increases in …

This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and …, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically …-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This …

There is an extensive literature noting that high inflation can add to income inequality, and a parallel literature … assessing the effect of rising food prices on the poor. This paper attempts to combine these strands by dividing inflation into … food and nonfood inflation and assessing whether food inflation affects income inequality differently from nonfood …

Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical … for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising …

been to raise inflation targets to provide more room for policy rate easing during crises. This paper addresses a different … issue: the relationship between inflation and welfare. The literature is surveyed and a model is developed. A key conclusion … is that an increase in inflation targets gives rise to additional welfare costs, even after the extra room to m …