estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and … Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in …;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China …

This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward … existing and new services as well as reorienting the production of tradable goods toward domestic markets. In China's case … paper shows that while rebalancing China's growth toward a domestic-demand-led economy would likely raise aggregate e …

Over the past decade, China's growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports … has widened substantially. Several economies within China's supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment …-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers …

This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United … developments in China than to shocks in the Euro Area or the United States, in line with the direction of evolving trade patterns … and the emergence of China as a key driver of the global economy. Outward spillovers from the GCC region and MENA oil …