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How will the world-wide decline in real interest rates associated with global aging affect small open economies (SOEs) with aging populations? Lower interest rates will result in higher capital-labor ratios and increased wages; higher wages, in turn, will be passed on to pension benefits,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677583
economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged … inflation and the pre-Accord peg. In this counterfactual, debt/GDP declines only to 74% in 1974, not 23% as in actual history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058792
This paper argues case that a tighter fiscal policy stance can meaningfully support central banks in fighting inflation … more effective than fiscal policy in battling inflation in open economies due to the exchange rate channel, we show that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058850
What might interest rate liberalization do to intermediation and the cost of capital in China? China's most binding interest rate control is a ceiling on the deposit rate, although lending rates are also regulated. Through case studies and model-based simulations, we find that liberalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677833
for establishing the other building blocks of an inflation targeting framework. It argues that strengthening the … effectiveness of the current monetary policy framework will facilitate the adoption of inflation targeting over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677487
We examine the interest rate elasticity of housing prices, advancingthe empirical literature in two directions. First, we take a commonly used cross-country panel dataset and evaluate the housing price equation using a consistent estimator in the presence of endogenous explanatory variables and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677673
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. AN OVERVIEW OF THE LITERATURE -- III. THEORETICAL ANALYSIS -- IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE -- V. CONCLUSION -- References -- DERIVATION OF DYNAMIC EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS -- DATA SOURCES AND DEFINITIONS.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690989
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. INTEREST RATES AND BUSINESS CYCLES -- III. THE GLOBAL ECONOMY MODEL WITH THE FINANCIAL ACCELERATOR -- IV. THE EFFECTS OF A 1 PERCENT U.S. INTEREST RATE HIKE -- V. A REPEAT OF THE GLOBAL BOND MARKET ROUT OF 1994? -- VI. WHAT ROLE FOR MONETARY POLICY? --...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691077
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691097
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. LOW GLOBAL INTEREST RATES: POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS -- III. A MODEL OF INTEREST RATE DETERMINATION -- IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE -- A. Data and Methodology -- B. Empirical Results -- C. A New Economy of Interest Rates? -- V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691110