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Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Paradoxes of International Capital Flows -- III. The Model -- IV. Aggregation and Equilibrium Conditions -- V. Comparative Statics -- VI. Free Trade and Capital Flows -- VII. Conclusions -- Appendix: Proofs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691176
The paper takes stock of the debate on the positive link between output volatility and the size of government-which reflects automatic stabilizers. After a survey of the literature, we show that the contribution of automatic stabilizers to output stability may have disappeared since the 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409031
This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060462
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
It is generally acknowledged that the government's output is difficult to define and its value is hard to measure. The practical solution, adopted by national accounts systems, is to equate output to input costs. However, several studies estimate significant inefficiencies in government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620981
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682178
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690983
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691029
Intro -- Contents -- I. MOTIVATION AND RELATED STUDIES -- II. OUTPUT DROPS -- III. SHOCKS -- IV. MULTIVARIATE PROBIT ANALYSIS -- V. ROBUSTNESS AND EXTENSIONS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX TABLES AND FIGURES -- APPENDIX I. HODRICK-PRESCOTT-FILTER BASED DEFINITION OF EVENTS -- APPENDIX II. KERNEL...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691074
The paper takes stock of the debate on the positive link between output volatility and the size of government-which reflects automatic stabilizers. After a survey of the literature, we show that the contribution of automatic stabilizers to output stability may have disappeared since the 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677598