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The effects of taxation on the general price level have traditionally been regarded as reflecting monetary policy, rather than fiscal factors. This view abstracted from the possible endogeneity of monetary expansion with respect to tax hikes, and from the effects which taxation may have on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825768
Researchers in policymaking institutions have expended significant effort to develop a new generation of macro models with more rigorous microfoundations. This paper provides a summary of the applications of two of these models. The Global Economy Model is a quarterly model that features a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826064
This paper uses the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model to compute shortrun multipliers of fiscal stimulus measures and long-run crowding-out effects of higher debt. Multipliers of two-year stimulus range from 0.2 to 2.2 depending on the fiscal instrument, the extent of monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497609
This paper highlights the importance of debt composition in setting optimal fiscal and monetary policy over short-run business cycles and in the long run. Nominal debt as state-contingent debt can be a significant policy tool to reduce the volatility of distortionary government policy, thereby...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263667
This paper analyzes the impact of strained government finances on macroeconomic stability and the transmission of fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Curdia and Woodford (2009), we study a "sovereign risk channel" through which sovereign default risk raises funding costs in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650633
estimate a New Keynesian Phillips curve for Armenia, suggesting a significant role of the output gap and inflation expectations … in determining current inflation. Finally, the underlying fiscal stance over the period 2000-09 is assessed by estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671293
The paper assesses, using seven structural models used heavily by policymaking institutions, the effectiveness of temporary fiscal stimulus. Models can, more easily than empirical studies, account for differences between fiscal instruments, for differences between structural characteristics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470409
times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622446
AND COUNTRY GROUPING -- B. DEBT-INFLATION TRAP AND DEBT SUSTAINABILITY -- REFERENCES. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691126
economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged … inflation and the pre-Accord peg. In this counterfactual, debt/GDP declines only to 74% in 1974, not 23% as in actual history …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058792