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This paper outlines important lessons for monetary policy. In particular, the role of inflation targeting, which was much acclaimed prior to the financial crisis and since then has not lost much of its endorsement, is critically reviewed. Ignoring the relation between monetary policy and asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019599
The purpose of this paper is to present a model that circumvents the requirement of explicitly setting a period in which the fiscal budget is to be balanced, yet implies that increases in the growth of public debt are bound to increase inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970
Emerging economies are characterized by higher consumption and real wage variability relative to output and a strongly countercyclical current account. A real business cycle model of a small open economy that embeds a Mortensen-Pissarides type of search-matching frictions and countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659836
This papers estimates the equilibrium exchange rate for Armenia using three different approaches: the purchasing power parity (PPP) approach, the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach, and the external sustainability (ES) approach. All three approaches suggest that the dram was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677748
This paper develops a general equilibrium model with unemployment and noncooperative wage determination to analyze the importance of incomplete markets when risk-averse agents are subject to idiosyncratic employment shocks. A version of the model calibrated to the U.S. shows that market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677860
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691151
This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of … money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … structural and empirical models in a consistent framework using Bayesian and other estimation techniques. We find that money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677626
-- III. Survey of the Theoretical Debate -- IV. The Importance of Money for Inflation Forecasts -- V. Disaggregated Monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012682180
Sudanese inflation dramatically fell in 2000. But just prior to the sharp decline, an export ban was placed on Sudanese livestock. Motivated by this clue, and in the absence of any reliable income or employment data, this paper systematically develops simultaneous models of the consumer price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825891
, 2009), this paper discusses various options to move towards a new benchmarking system in the money market. It proposes a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242252