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The output contractions during the initial transition stages in the Baltics and in Russia and the other CIS countries are examined across several dimensions, and the reliability of the available official statistics evaluated. The depth, length and breadth of the contractions are studied and set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263697
This paper uses the classical (level) definition of business cycles to analyze the characteristics-duration, amplitude, steepness, and cumulative output movements-of the real GDP series of France, Germany, Italy, the rest of the euro area, and the United States. An index of concordance and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263734
vectors for the production function and the real money demand function to recover the structural output and money gaps for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263752
This paper analyzes the behavior of output during currency crises using a sample of 195 crisis episodes in 91 developing countries during 1970-98. It finds that more than two-fifths of the crises in the sample were expansionary, and that output contraction was greater in large and more developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263977
If permanent output is uncertain, tax smoothing can be perilous: both debt levels and tax rates are difficult to stabilize and may drift upwards. One practical remedy would be to target the debt. However, our simulations confirm that such a policy would require undesirably volatile fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264166
This paper presents a multivariate (MV) methodology for obtaining measures of excess demand that can facilitate discussion of monetary policy issues and improve policy decisions. Using data for the Czech Republic, a growing economy undergoing major structural change, it shows how the use of more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264226
The study looks at the cyclical behavior of the markups and assesses its impact on inflation dynamics. The analysis finds that the aggregate level of the private sector's markup is relatively high, thus pointing to the lack of strong competition in South Africa's product markets. Additionally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293762
After widening substantially in the period preceding the global financial crisis, current account imbalances across the world have contracted to a significant extent. This paper analyzes the factors underlying this process of external adjustment. It finds that countries whose pre-crisis current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293775
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada … household production sector. We use the model to generate data on home output, hours worked in the home sector, and hours spent … variables are generally less persistent than market variables, and cross-country correlations related to home production tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825641
This paper has examined the phenomenon of convergence of per capita output levels across regions of Bangladesh during 1982–97. The main finding is that most of the regions of Bangladesh experienced strong convergence of per capita output levels during 1982–91. There are two other findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825646