This paper critically reviews recent work regarding the sustainability of public debt. It argues that Debt Sustainability Analyses (DSAs) should be more than mere mechanical simulation exercises. Instead, a DSA should be linked to some objective regarding the distribution of fiscal burdens and...

The recent relatively high levels of global oil prices have led to a significant improvement in the public finances of several hydrocarbon-exporting countries. However, despite the increase in fiscal buffers, medium-term risks remain high. Fiscal vulnerabilities have increased as a consequence...

In this paper, we present the most comprehensive estimates of China's government balance sheet to date. Based on these estimates, we show how major shifts in fiscal policy over the last two decades have shaped the health of the public sector prior to the Covid-19 pandemic. We find that, at...

This paper aims to clarify possible systemic bottlenecks to the introduction of advanced PFM reforms in the SEE countries. It relates key fiscal developments to PFM reform processes over the last 15 years. PFM reform strategies must be realistic, with clear objectives and timetables, and with...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FISCAL DEVELOPMENTS IN PERSPECTIVE -- III. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK FOR QUANTIFYING QUASI-FISCAL ACTIVITIES -- IV. THE SCOPE AND COVERAGE OF QUASI-FISCAL ACTIVITIES -- V. QUASI- FISCAL ACTIVITIES AND THE FISCAL POSITION -- VI. POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. BACKGROUND -- III. DECENTRALIZATION AND OVERALL FISCAL CONSTRAINTS -- IV. LEGAL FRAMEWORK -- V. ASSIGNMENTS AND ACCOUNTABILITY -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- References.

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FISCAL PERFORMANCE IN ISRAEL -- III. THE MODEL -- IV. FISCAL CONSOLIDATION: NOW VERSUS LATER -- V. TAX CUTS -- VI. CONCLUSION -- APPENDIX. CALIBRATION OF GFM -- REFERENCES.

This paper presents a new global dataset on current practices for four budget items in terms of indexation to the price level and other nominal variables. Compiling data from documents of select multilateral organizations, governments, and related literature as well as conducting a survey among...

Does inflation help improve public finances? This paper documents the dynamic responses of fiscal variables to an inflation shock, using both quarterly and annual panel data for a broad set of economies. Inflation shocks are estimated to improve fiscal balances temporarily, as nominal revenues...

Fiscal performance in Latin America looks much improved this decade compared to the 1980s or 1990s. Is this a "structural" improvement or likely to be transitory? This paper answers this question by estimating the relationship between non-commodity revenue and the economic cycle, and evaluating...