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Callen, Tim; McKibbin, Warwick J.; Batini, Nicoletta - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006

The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826038

Tradeoff between the Output and Current Account Effects of Pension Reform.

Catalan, Mario - 2012

We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with … a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the retirement age have a large positive effect on output, but a small …: Increasing the Retirement Age -- C. Reform II: Cutting Pension Benefits -- D. The Long-Run Tradeoff between Output and the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690159

Macroeconomics of Migration in New Member States

Bems, Rudolfs - 2008

This paper examines the macroeconomic impact of migration on income convergence in the EU's New Member States (NMS). The paper focuses on cross-border mobility of labor and examines the implications for policymakers with the help of a general equilibrium model. It finds that cross-border labor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677689

Climate and Cross-Border Migration

Beltran, Paula - 2023

Our work is positioned at the intersection of migration and climate change-two key forces shaping the economic outlook of many countries. The analysis explores: (i) the relative importance of origincountry vs destination-country factors in explaining migration patterns; (ii) importance of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058871

Climate Variability and Worldwide Migration: Empirical Evidence and Projections

Cattaneo, Cristina - 2024

We estimate a bilateral gravity equation for emigration rates controlling for decadal weather averages of temperature, precipitation, droughts, and extreme precipitation in origin countries. Using the parameter estimates of the gravity equation, we estimate global, regional, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058584

Northern Triangle Undocumented Migration to the United States

Carare, Alina - 2023

Undocumented migration from the Northern Triangle countries (El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras) to the United States has been steadily increasing over the past 30 years, accelerating at times. The paper investigates what factors could explain this fact, by estimating an investment decision...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059750

Demographic Transition in the Middle East; Implications for Growth, Employment, and Housing

Bhattacharya, Rina; Yousef, Tarik; Dhonte, Pierre - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000

The working age population is expected to grow faster in the Middle East than in any other region in the world between now and 2015—rising annually by 2.7 percent, or 10 million people. This demographic explosion presents the region with a major challenge in terms of providing jobs, incomes,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264176

Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century

Cheng, Kevin C. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003

This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825867

Demographic Change in Asia; The Impacton Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account

McDonald, Ian; Bésanger, Serge; Guest, Ross - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000

This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103

Welfare Implications of HIV/AIDS

Haacker, Markus; Crafts, N. F. R. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003

The paper evaluates the impact of HIV/AIDS on welfare in several countries affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Unlike studies focusing on the impact of HIV/AIDS on GDP per capita, we evaluate the impact of increased mortality using estimates of the value of statistical life. Our results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769144

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