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Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. FINANCIAL DEREGULATION AND DISINTERMEDIATION -- III. CHANGES IN MONETARY TRANSMISSION: EVIDENCE FROM VAR MODELS -- IV. CHANGES IN MONETARY TRANSMISSION: EVIDENCE FROM STRUCTURAL MODELS -- V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- References.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691064
This paper constructs a coincident indicator for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) area business cycle. The resulting coincident indicator provides a reliable measure of the GCC business cycle; over the last decade, the GCC coincident index and the real GDP growth have moved closely together....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677760
The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677494
This paper gauges the key determinants of China's private consumption in relation to GDP using data on the Chinese economy and evidence from other countries' experiences. The results suggest there is nothing ""special"" about consumption in China. Rather, the challenge is to explain why the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677619
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691015
Many central banks and government agencies use nowcasting techniques to obtain policy relevant information about the business cycle. Existing nowcasting methods, however, have two critical shortcomings for this purpose. First, in contrast to machine-learning models, they do not provide much if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059646
Klyuev (2008) concluded that the Canadian market for housing finance is highly advanced and sophisticated, but financing options were somewhat limited, particularly at terms longer than five years. This paper argues that the paucity of longer-term loans is caused by a five-year maturity cap on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677793
This paper explores factors behind Canadian banks' relative resilience in the ongoing credit turmoil. We identify two main causes: a higher share of depository funding (vs. wholesale funding) in liabilities, and a number of regulatory and structural factors in the Canadian market that reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677799
equilibrium throughout Canada. However, house prices in Alberta and British Columbia remain around 8 percent overvalued at the end …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677889
This paper measures the size of the stock of intangible capital in Canada using newly released data on the market value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677492