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This paper identifies over 100 inflation shock episodes in 56 countries since the 1970s, including over 60 episodes … linked to the 1973-79 oil crises. We document that only in 60 percent of the episodes was inflation brought back down (or … "resolved") within 5 years, and that even in these "successful" cases resolving inflation took, on average, over 3 years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059085
The surge in energy prices in 2022 has been a defining factor behind the increase in euro area inflation. We assess the … to mute the effects of the increase in energy prices and to lower inflation. Overall, we find that these unconventional … measures reduced euro area inflation by 1 to 2 percentage points in 2022 and may avoid an undershoot later on. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059180
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060429
This study investigates the relationship between the adoption of renewable energy and the sensitivity of inflation to … oil and gas prices leading to a surge in inflation, the notion of a "divine coincidence" suggests that higher levels of … renewable energy adoption, in addition to fighting climate change, could mitigate fossil fuel price-induced inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058378
We study the global inflation surge during the pandemic recovery and the implications for aggregate and sectoral … differences in the inflation response across sectors imply the relative price of goods has been pro-cyclical this time around … calibrated exercise shows that the resulting changes to the output-inflation relation are quantitatively important and improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058764
This paper reviews the Latin American experience with the implementation of 1993 SNAand the updating of the national accounts' base year. It also makes a preliminary assessment of the possible estimation biases in nominal GDP estimates stemming from the use of outdated national accounts base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409069
This paper analyzes the evolution of national accounts statistics compilation practices over the period of 2018 to 2021 for 189 economies. This is useful information for monitoring the quality of national accounts statistics and supporting identification of areas for improvement. Economies can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059215
How to account for interest on bonds in a system as integrated as the System of National Accounts 1993 (1993 SNA) has been a source of much controversy. Two main positions emerge: the debtor treatment based on the contractual arrangements of the bonds; and the creditor treatment based on current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768838
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. MACROECONOMIC-BASED MODELS -- III. CREDIT SCORING (OR ACCOUNTING-BASED) MODELS -- IV. RATINGS-BASED MODELS -- V. HYBRID MODELS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691085
Intro -- Contents -- I. MARKET-BASED DEFAULT PROBABILITIES AND FINANCIAL SURVEILLANCE -- II. CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS -- III. BONDS -- IV. EQUITY PRICES -- V. FROM RISK-NEUTRAL PROBABILITIES TO REAL-WORLD PROBABILITIES -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691108