Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. MAIN OBJECTIVES OF THE BSA -- III. KEY FEATURES OF THE FRAMEWORK FOR ANALYSIS -- IV. DATA METHODOLOGIES AND AVAILABILITY FOR BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS -- V. USING TIMELY, HIGH-FREQUENCY BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS IN SURVEILLANCE -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES.

This paper assembles a comprehensive dataset of the currency composition of countries' external balance sheets for 50 economies over the period 1990-2020. We document the following findings: (i) the US dollar and the euro still dominate global external balance sheets; (ii) there were striking...

We present empirical evidence that the Thai baht's value is driven in part by investors' cross-border equity portfolio rebalancing decisions. Our results are based on comprehensive datasets of FX and stock market transactions undertaken by nonresident investors in Thailand in 2005 and 2006....

We demonstrate empirically that not all capital flows influence exchange rates equally: Capital flows induced by foreign investors' stock market transactions have both an economically significant and a permanent impact on exchange rates, whereas capital flows induced by foreign investors'...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY -- II. WHAT ARE RISK PREMIUMS ON THE DOLLAR AND HOW CAN WE MEASURE THEM? -- III. CAPITAL FLOWS AND RISK PREMIUMS -- IV. EXPLAINING RISK PREMIUM MOVEMENTS -- V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS -- DATA AND REGRESSION METHODOLOGY -- References.

This paper assesses the effects of capital controls imposed in Colombia in 2007 on capital flows and exchange rate dynamics. The results suggest that the controls were successful in reducing external borrowing, but had no statistically significant impact on the volume of non- FDI flows as a...

Several emerging economies have, until recently, experienced large government surpluses and accelerating foreign exchange reserve accumulation. This has been accompanied by economic booms, exchange rate appreciations and in some cases increases in domestic inflation. We show that one way to...

The assessment of external positions and exchange rates of member countries is a key mandate of the IMF. The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has provided the framework for conducting external sector assessments by Fund staff since its introduction in 2012. This paper provides the...

This paper addresses the important question of how far a government will run down its stock of foreign reserves in a defense of a fixed exchange rate. An optimizing model of currency crisis is presented in which the decision of whether or not to borrow in a defense of a peg is explicitly...

Could a high-access, quick-disbursing "insurance facility" in the IMF help to reduce the incidence of sharp interruptions in capital flows ("sudden stops")? We contribute to the debate around this question by analyzing the impact of conventional IMF-supported programs on the incidence of sudden...