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The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass level disaggretion of the CPI over 1990-2021, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059656
There is an extensive literature noting that high inflation can add to income inequality, and a parallel literature assessing the effect of rising food prices on the poor. This paper attempts to combine these strands by dividing inflation into food and nonfood inflation and assessing whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618580
During the first half of 2008, Sri Lanka witnessed significantly higher inflation than most other emerging Asian countries. Inflation has since declined amid declining world commodity prices and tight monetary policy. Given the sensitivity to global commodity prices, a core inflation measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677830
Wage setters take into account the future consequences of their current wage choices in the presence of downward nominal wage rigidities. Several interesting implications arise. First, a closed-form solution for a long-run Phillips curve relates average unemployment to average wage inflation;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677671
When inflation originates from distributional conflicts, shifts in inflation expectations, or energy price shocks, monetary policy (MP) is a costly stabilization instrument. We show that a tax on inflation policy (TIP), which would require firms to pay a tax proportional to the increase in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058866
This paper analyzes the inflation forecast errors over the period 2021Q1-2022Q3 using forecasts of core and headline inflation from the International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook for a large group of advanced and emerging market economies. The findings reveal evidence of forecast bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059444
In 2021-22, inflation in Europe soared to multidecade highs, consistently exceeding policymakers' forecasts and surprising with its wide cross-country dispersion. This paper analyzes the key drivers of the inflation surge in Europe and its variation across countries. The analysis highlights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059690
Index number theory informs us that if data on matched prices and quantities are available, a superlative index number formula is best to aggregate heterogeneous items, and a unit value index to aggregate homogeneous ones. The formulas can give very different results. Neglected is the practical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677703
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. ELEMENTARY INDEX NUMBER FORMULAS, THEIR USE AND JUSTIFICATION -- III. DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE JEVONS AND DUTOT FORMULAS -- IV. EMPIRICAL WORK -- V. IMPLICATIONS FOR CPI COMPILATION -- VI. SUMMARY -- Data Annex.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691106
Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. MEASURING THE COST OF LIVING -- III. TRUE REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES -- IV. AN APPLICATION: THE IRISH ECONOMY'S EXPOSURE TO STERLING -- V. CONCLUSION -- Appendix -- References.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012691043