Showing 1 - 10 of 890
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012690968
This paper identifies over 100 inflation shock episodes in 56 countries since the 1970s, including over 60 episodes … linked to the 1973-79 oil crises. We document that only in 60 percent of the episodes was inflation brought back down (or … "resolved") within 5 years, and that even in these "successful" cases resolving inflation took, on average, over 3 years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059085
The surge in energy prices in 2022 has been a defining factor behind the increase in euro area inflation. We assess the … to mute the effects of the increase in energy prices and to lower inflation. Overall, we find that these unconventional … measures reduced euro area inflation by 1 to 2 percentage points in 2022 and may avoid an undershoot later on. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059180
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060429
This study investigates the relationship between the adoption of renewable energy and the sensitivity of inflation to … oil and gas prices leading to a surge in inflation, the notion of a "divine coincidence" suggests that higher levels of … renewable energy adoption, in addition to fighting climate change, could mitigate fossil fuel price-induced inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058378
We study the global inflation surge during the pandemic recovery and the implications for aggregate and sectoral … differences in the inflation response across sectors imply the relative price of goods has been pro-cyclical this time around … calibrated exercise shows that the resulting changes to the output-inflation relation are quantitatively important and improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058764
Germany, we document how consumption patterns changed and we quantify the resulting inflation bias. We find that consumers …The COVID-19 pandemic altered consumption patterns significantly in a short period of time. However, official inflation … experienced a higher level of inflation at the beginning of the pandemic than what a fixed-weight inflation (or the official …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060051
Increases in German core inflation following the 2007 VAT hike were smaller than expected, leading to speculation about … small increase upon implementation. We find that core inflation rose by 0.36 percentage point in the run up and by a further … in core inflation in 2006-07 at an estimated pass-through of 73 percent. Most of the increase in 2006 was of ge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677621
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009707567