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Fueling or Following Growth? Causal Effects of Capital Inflows on Recipient Economies
End, Nicolas - 2024
Identifying the causal impact of capital inflows on growth and development has been a perennial challenge. This paper proposes a new way to investigate the effect of capital flows on recipient emerging and developing economies, using shift-share instruments and correcting for indirect flows. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058746
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The Elusive Quest for Inclusive Growth : Growth, Poverty, and Inequality in Asia
Balakrishnan, Ravi - 2013
This paper assesses how pro-poor and inclusive Asia's recent growth has been, and what factors have been driving these …, dampening the impact of growth on poverty reduction. As a result, relative to other emerging and developing regions and to Asia … policies that could help redress these trends and broaden the benefits of growth in Asia. These include fiscal policies to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409435
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Public debt dynamics : the effects of austerity, inflation, and growth shocks
Cherif, Reda; Hasanov, Fuad - 2012
We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically significant. In a weak economic environment, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009622446
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Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth
Aiyar, Shekhar - 2008
External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in housing and credit markets, and high oil prices. While the share of Thai exports to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677605
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Did the U.S. Really Grow Out of Its World War II Debt?
Acalin, Julien - 2024
The fall in the U.S. public debt/GDP ratio from 106% in 1946 to 23% in 1974 is often attributed to high rates of economic growth. This paper examines the roles of three other factors: primary budget surpluses, surprise inflation, and pegged interest rates before the Fed-Treasury Accord of 1951....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015058792
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Forecasting Inflation in Sudan
Moriyama, Kenji - 2009
This paper forecasts inflation in Sudan following two methodologies: the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model and by looking at the leading indicators of inflation. The estimated ARMA model remarkably tracks the actual inflation during the sample period. The Granger causality test suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677800
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Reaching (Beyond) the Frontier: Energy Efficiency in Europe
Cevik, Serhan - 2023
The world is not decarbonizing fast enough, with global warming on track to reach as much as 4°C over the next century absent a global green transition. Policymakers in Europe-and beyond-still have an opportunity both to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 and to strengthen economic prospects by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059064
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Targeted, Implementable, and Practical Energy Relief Measures for Households in Europe
Arregui, Nicolas - 2022
The recommended way of helping households during the ongoing European energy crisis is to allow price signals to operate freely while providing targeted compensation to the vulnerable. In practice, however, institutional, political, and technical constraints have led many European governments to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059907
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Jobs Impact of Green Energy
Kim, Jaden - 2022
This brief paper accompanies the Green Energy and Jobs tool, which is a simple excel-based tool to estimate the job-creation potential of greening the electricity sector. Specifically, it calculates the net job gains or losses from increasing the level of energy efficiency, and from increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015060395
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The domestic credit supply response to international bank deleveraging : is Asia different?
Aiyar, Shekhar; Jain Chandra, Sonali - 2012
examines the impact of that deleveraging on credit supply in recipient economies, with a particular focus on Asia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659761