What is the impact of climate change on inflation and growth dynamics? This is not a simple question to answer as climate shocks tend to be ubiquitous, but with opposing effects simultaneously on demand and supply. The extent of which climate-related shocks affect inflation and economic growth...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY -- III. TRENDS IN GDP AND PER CAPITA GDP GROWTH -- IV. GROWTH ACCOUNTING AND TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY -- V. IMPLICATIONS FOR MEDIUM-TERM GROWTH -- VI. DETERMINANTS OF PRODUCTIVITY IN PAPUA NEW GUINEA -- VII. SUMMARY AND...

While India’s growth has been strong in recent decades, its structural transformation remains incomplete. In this paper, we first take stock of India’s growth to date. We find that economic activity has shifted from agriculture to services, but agriculture remains the predominant employer....

Our work is positioned at the intersection of migration and climate change-two key forces shaping the economic outlook of many countries. The analysis explores: (i) the relative importance of origincountry vs destination-country factors in explaining migration patterns; (ii) importance of...

Using self-reported data on emissions for a global sample of 4,000 large, listed firms, we document large heterogeneity in environmental performance within the same industry and country. Laggards-firms with high emissions relative to the scale of their operations-are larger, operate older...

Building public support for climate mitigation is a key prerequisite to making meaningful strides toward decarbonization and achieving net-zero emissions. Using nationally representative, individual-level surveys for 28 countries, this paper identifies the current levels and drivers of support...

This paper evaluates the global economic consequences of physical climate risks under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP 1-2.6 and SSP 2-4.5) using firm-level evidence. Firstly, we estimate the historical sectoral productivity changes from chronic climate risks (gradual changes in...

This paper explores a novel forward-looking approach to study the financial stability implications of climate-related transition risks. We develop an integrated micro-macro framework with a new class of scenario called delayed-uncertain pathways. An additional stochastic financial modeling layer...