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Systemic Real and Financial Risks; Measurement, Forecasting, and Stress Testing
Lucchetta, Marcella; Nicoló, Gianni De - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2012
exhibits significant out-of sample forecasting power for tail real and financial risk realizations, and that stress testing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654174
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Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring
Aruoba, S. Boragan; Terrones, Marco; Kose, M. Ayhan; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839326
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Stress Testing of Financial Systems; An Overview of Issues, Methodologies, and FSAP Experiences
Peria, Maria Soledad Martinez; Majnoni, Giovanni; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2001
The paper has three objectives. After a general introduction to some of the concepts and basic techniques of stress testing, the paper gives an overview of some of the conceptual issues involved in evaluating risks at the aggregated level of financial systems. Second, this study provides a basic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248173
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Loan Review, Provisioning, and Macroeconomic Linkages
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2000
Loan review is a process routinely used by banks to assess the current value of loan portfolios. Provisioning is a technique to translate loan review results into the balance sheet. It allows for ongoing valuation of loans. Both are core elements of credit risk management and important to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248195
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The Distributional Consequences of Real Exchange Rate Adjustment
Klyuev, Vladimir - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
The paper focuses on distributional consequences of macroeconomic adjustment. The preferences of economic agents over the level of the real exchange rate derived from standard models are monotonic, with agents favoring either an infinitely appreciated or depreciated rate. To generate less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248306
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A VAR Analysis of Kenya's Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism; How Does the Central Bank's REPO Rate Affect the Economy?
Cheng, Kevin C. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper examines the impact of a monetary policy shock on output, prices, and the nominal effective exchange rate … main results suggest that an exogenous increase in the short-term interest rate tends to be followed by a decline in prices … variations in the short-term interest rate account for significant fluctuations in the nominal exchange rate and prices, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263733
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Sources of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa
Peiris, Shanaka J.; Barnichon, Régis - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
This paper explores the sources of inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa by examining the relationship between inflation, the output gap, and the real money gap. Using heterogeneous panel cointegration estimation techniques, we estimate cointegrating vectors for the production function and the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263752
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Central Bank Collateral Frameworks; Principles and Policies
McCaughrin, Rebecca; Gray, Simon; Chailloux, Alexandre - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
Central bank collateral policies came under pressure with the 2007-08 financial market crisis. This paper addresses the rationale for and constraints in taking collateral, and recent practices in different collateral frameworks. It then considers the risks of adverse selection. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263899
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Insurance Value of International Reserves; An Option Pricing Approach
Lee, Jaewoo - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2004
A quantitative framework is developed to bring forward the insurance motive of holding international reserves. The insurance value of reserves is quantified as the market price of an equivalent option that provides the same insurance coverage as the reserves. This quantitative framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264030
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International Policy Coordination and Simple Monetary Policy Rules
Berger, Wolfram; Wagner, Helmut - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
trade. Prices of final consumption goods are sticky in the consumer's currency. Pursuing an inward-looking policy, as … price indices is dominated by rules that allow for some fluctuations in prices such as nominal income or monetary targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264091