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these spillovers into trade, commodity price, and financial market channels. For Canada, a one percent shock to U.S. real … important than trade in recent decades. Thus, a large proportion of the reduction in Canadian output volatility since the 1980s ….S. shock-"when the U.S. sneezes, Mexico catches a cold". These spillovers are transmitted through both trade and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264075
Are improvements in growth in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) since the mid-1990s sustainable? What types of growth strategies contribute the most to reducing poverty? This paper examines these questions in four stages. First, it explores the factors contributing to the post- 1995 improvement in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264160
This paper examines the economic and financial linkages between Morocco and Tunisia and their European partners. Using structural vector autoregressions, we find that growth shocks in European partner countries generate significant responses on growth in Morocco and Tunisia. For Tunisia, exports...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727792
This paper investigates whether the linkages between economic growth in Russia and growth in other countries in the region have weakened over time, particularly following the 1998 Russian crisis. It specifies an econometric model that includes standard growth determinants as well as Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599404
effect of the agreement in spurring a dramatic increase in trade and financial flows between Mexico and its NAFTA partners … regional free trade arrangements should be used to accelerate, rather than postpone, needed structural reform. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599680
This paper measures the extent to which South African economic growth is an engine of growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Results based on panel data estimation for 47 African countries over four decades suggest that South African growth has a substantial positive impact on growth in the rest of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599760
This paper reexamines the relationship between trade integration and business cycle synchronization (BCS) using new … value-added trade data for 63 advanced and emerging economies during 1995–2012. In a panel framework, we identify a strong … positive impact of trade intensity on BCS—conditional on various controls, global common shocks and country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142047
the RoW, but has also gradually drifted away from the G7 in favour of the BRICs. Trade with the BRICs turns out to be the … strongest driver of this shift. Much of this impact unfolds through aggregate demand impulse from trade. As fiscal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142171
We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263687
We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960–2007. In particular, we analyze the implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769300