Showing 1 - 10 of 911
-market slack is captured by the level of shortterm unemployment. This equation explains inflation behavior since 2000, including … the failure of high total unemployment since 2008 to reduce inflation greatly. The fit of our equation is especially good … general Phillips curve in which core inflation depends on short-term unemployment and on expected inflation as measured by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242402
inflation levels. The paper identifies four broad principles of central bank autonomy that have been shared by the majority of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263819
predictions of a forward-looking model of inflation. Wealth effects of public debt could also affect inflation, as posited by the … fiscal theory of the price level, but we do not find supportive evidence. The results suggest that the risk of a debt-inflation … trap is significant in highly indebted countries, and pure money-based stabilization is unlikely to be effective over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263906
-2002, when flotation of the peso and inflation targeting were adopted. We argue, first, in favor of adopting "operational … inflation target ranges" and, second, in favor of strengthening the current scheme of foreign exchange options. The impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264192
This paper examines the determinants of inflation in Sierra Leone using a structural vector autoregression (VAR …) approach to help forecast inflation for operational purposes. Despite data limitations, the paper accurately models inflation … in Sierra Leone. As economic theory predicts, domestic inflation is found to increase with higher oil prices, higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825688
This paper presents a survey of the literature on the measurement of central bank autonomy. We distinguish inputs that constitute the building blocks in the literature, and the literature that builds on them. Issues including sensitivity analysis, robustness, and endogeneity are discussed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769279
Credibility and financing problems are important reasons why countries may seek to involve external institutions in the design and implementation of stabilization programs. In particular, governments may rely on external institutions to ‘enforce’ programs that would otherwise lack...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599774
The International Monetary Fund was designed during World War II by men whose worldview had been shaped by the Great War and the Great Depression. Their views on how the postwar international monetary system should function were also shaped by their economics training and their nationalities....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604900
This paper emphasizes the distinction between two ‘monetary approaches to the balance of payments’, one developed in the IMF, the other under the leadership of Harry Johnson in Chicago. The IMF approach is presented as an evolutionary development of the Kahn/Keynes multiplier model in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605086
inflation when there is no perceived commitment to reduce the fiscal deficit. The model is based on a modified version of the … current consumption leads to an equal increase in inflation. The timing of this increase varies with the size of the deficit … inflation. Three policy conclusions are offered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263970