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strongest driver of this shift. Much of this impact unfolds through aggregate demand impulse from trade. As fiscal policy … the RoW, but has also gradually drifted away from the G7 in favour of the BRICs. Trade with the BRICs turns out to be the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142171
demand shock and to assess how the effects of various demand and supply shocks change in the presence of oil storage facility …. We find that business-cycle driven oil demand shocks are the most important drivers of U.S. oil price fluctuations during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242343
are politically unpopular. Through estimation of household demand functions by income quintiles to evaluate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242403
experiments, including fiscal, monetary, financial, demand, supply, and international shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242434
economy specific combinations of negative domestic or foreign output demand shocks, mitigated to varying degrees by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646428
By constructing and estimating a structural arbitrage-free model of demand pressures on US real rates, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790349
Structural budget-balance rules with countercyclical elements appear well suited to stabilize the macroeconomic volatility of oil-exporting countries and have been used successfully by other commodity exporters. Using a global DSGE model, the efficient design of such rules is found to depend on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790379
The paper investigates asymmetry in the allocation of aggregate demand shocks between real output growth and price … existence of structural constraints, implying that positive demand shocks feed predominantly into prices while negative demand … shocks mainly affect output. The high variability of aggregate demand in Caribbean countries, frequently exposed to shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790404
countries/regions over the period 1979Q2–2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and … consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic …-exporting countries that possess large proven oil/gas reserves. However, in response to an oil-demand disturbance, almost all countries in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142133